Russia
India
China
South Africa?
Goldman Sachs economist Jim O'Neill predicted in 2003 the BRIC economies would, by 2050, be wealthier that most of the current major economic powerhouses. In 2012 South Africa joined therefore making the BRIC the BRICS. It is predicted that China and India will become the dominant forces in manufactured gods and services while Russia and Brazil will become the dominant suppliers of raw materials.
These 4 countries are the fastest growing and largest emerging market economies and account for just under half of the world's population. It is believed that China will become the biggest economy in the world sometime between 2030 and 2050 because as discussed in another post they have averaged 10% growth for the last 3 decades.
However they have experienced problems and are likely to run into problems in the future that include:
- Russia face political problems which in turn will cause economic problems for example exports to Russia have fallen sharply, they also rely too heavily upon oil (we have seen lately the huge decline in oil prices that will have an effect on Russian economy)
- India suffer from corruption and also an increasing current account deficit
- Brazil's economic growth has plunged from 7.5% to 0.9% in 2010 to 2012.
- All growth figures and prospects will have been affected by the financial crisis
Goldman Sachs projected growth |
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